In this comprehensive forecast of the upcoming Emmy Awards, The Hollywood Reporter’s executive editor of awards coverage, Scott Feinberg, offers his best predictions for the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences. These projections are based on consultations with voters and industry strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, previous awards results, and the history of the Emmys themselves. Spanning multiple categories, here are Feinberg’s projected standings for some of the major awards.
In the Best Drama Series category, Feinberg predicts that HBO/Max’s “Succession” will take the top spot, followed by “The White Lotus” and “The Last of Us” also from HBO/Max. Other contenders include “Better Call Saul,” “House of the Dragon,” “Andor,” “The Crown,” and “Yellowjackets.”
For Best Comedy Series, Feinberg anticipates that FX’s “The Bear” will be a strong contender, along with Apple TV+’s “Ted Lasso” and ABC’s “Abbott Elementary.” Other potential nominees include “Barry,” “Jury Duty,” “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” “Only Murders in the Building,” and “Wednesday.”
In the Best Limited or Anthology Series category, Feinberg projects that Netflix’s “Beef” will lead the pack, followed by “Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story,” “Daisy Jones & the Six,” “Fleishman Is in Trouble,” and “Obi-Wan Kenobi.”
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For Best TV Movie, Feinberg predicts that “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” on the Roku Channel will be a strong contender, along with “Prey,” “Fire Island,” “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas,” and “Hocus Pocus 2” on Disney+.
Moving on to the variety categories, Feinberg’s projected standings for Best Variety Talk Series include “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert,” “Jimmy Kimmel Live!,” “The Daily Show With Trevor Noah,” “The Problem With Jon Stewart,” and “Late Night With Seth Meyers.”
In the Best Scripted Variety Series category, Feinberg predicts that “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” will be a frontrunner, followed by “Saturday Night Live” and “A Black Lady Sketch Show.”
For Best Variety Specials, both live and pre-recorded, Feinberg projects a range of potential nominees. Some highlights include “The Apple Music Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show Starring Rihanna,” “Chris Rock: Selective Outrage,” “Elton John Live: Farewell from Dodger Stadium,” “The Oscars,” “The 75th Annual Tony Awards,” “John Mulaney: Baby J,” “Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love,” “Norman Lear: 100 Years of Music & Laughter,” “Trevor Noah: I Wish You Would,” “Wanda Sykes: I’m an Entertainer,” and “Lizzo: Live in Concert.”
Feinberg’s forecast also extends to the documentary and nonfiction categories. For Best Documentary or Nonfiction Series, his projected standings include “The U.S. and the Holocaust,” “Secrets of the Elephants,” “100 Foot Wave,” “The 1619 Project,” and “Dear Mama: The Saga of Afeni and Tupac Shakur.”
In the Best Documentary or Nonfiction Special category, Feinberg anticipates contenders such as “Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie,” “Being Mary Tyler Moore,” “Judy Blume Forever,” “Pamela: A Love Story,” and “My Transparent Life.”
For Best Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special, Feinberg’s projected standings feature “My Next Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman and Volodymyr Zelenskyy,” “Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy,” “The Light We Carry: Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey,” “The United Shades of America with W. Kamau Bell,” and “Taste the Nation with Padma Lakshmi.”
Feinberg’s forecast also covers reality and game show categories. In the Best Structured Reality Program category, he predicts strong contenders like “Queer Eye,” “Shark Tank,” “Love Is Blind,” “Antiques Roadshow,” and “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives.”
For Best Unstructured Reality Program, Feinberg projects that “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked,” “Welcome to Wrexham,” “Indian Matchmaking,” “Selling Sunset,” and “Vanderpump Rules” will be the top contenders.
For Best Reality Competition Program, his predicted standings include “RuPaul’s Drag Race,” “The Voice,” “The Amazing Race,” “Top Chef,” and “Survivor.”
In the Best Game Show category, Feinberg projects that favorites like “Jeopardy!,” “The Price Is Right,” “Wheel of Fortune,” “Family Feud,” and “That’s My Jam” will dominate.
Feinberg also offers predicted standings for the acting categories, including Best Actor and Actress in a Drama Series, Best Supporting Actor and Actress in a Drama Series, Best Guest Actor and Actress in a Drama Series, Best Actor and Actress in a Comedy Series, Best Supporting Actor and Actress in a Comedy Series, Best Guest Actor and Actress in a Comedy Series, Best Actor and Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie, Best Supporting Actor and Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie.
These projections provide a comprehensive overview of the potential nominees and frontrunners for the upcoming Emmy Awards. As the awards season progresses, it will be interesting to see how accurate Feinberg’s predictions turn out to be and which shows, actors, and creators will ultimately take home the coveted Emmy statuettes.
