This forecast, compiled by Scott Feinberg, a renowned awards columnist for The Hollywood Reporter, is an attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences regarding the upcoming Emmy Awards. Feinberg bases his standings on consultations with industry voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, pre-Emmy awards results, and the history of the Emmys themselves. While these predictions are not necessarily Feinberg’s personal preferences, they provide an insightful look into the potential contenders for the awards. It is important to note that these standings are subject to change as new developments occur.
In the Best Drama Series category, the frontrunners are “Succession,” “The White Lotus: Sicily,” and “The Last of Us.” Other notable contenders include “Better Call Saul,” “Yellowjackets,” and “House of the Dragon.” Major threats to these frontrunners are “Andor,” “The Mandalorian,” and “The Handmaid’s Tale,” while possibilities include “Bad Sisters” and “Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story.”
Moving on to the Best Comedy Series category, the top contenders are “The Bear,” “Abbott Elementary,” and “Ted Lasso.” “Barry,” “Only Murders in the Building,” and “Wednesday” are also strong contenders. Major threats come from “Poker Face,” “What We Do in the Shadows,” and “The Great,” while possibilities include “Dead to Me” and “Somebody Somewhere.”
In the Best Limited or Anthology Series category, the frontrunners are “Beef,” “Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story,” and “Black Bird.” Other major contenders include “A Small Light” and “Daisy Jones & the Six.” Notable threats come from “Tiny Beautiful Things” and “Fleishman Is in Trouble,” while possibilities include “Obi-Wan Kenobi” and “This Is Going to Hurt.”
For Best TV Movie, the top contenders are “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story,” “Prey,” and “Fire Island.” “Reality” and “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” are also strong contenders. Major threats include “Reno 911!: It’s a Wonderful Heist” and “The Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die,” while possibilities include “Boston Strangler” and “Honor Society.”
Moving on to Best Variety Talk Series, the frontrunners are “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert,” “The Daily Show With Trevor Noah,” and “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” Other major contenders include “Late Night With Seth Meyers” and “The Late Late Show With James Corden.” Notable threats come from “The Problem With Jon Stewart” and “Real Time With Bill Maher,” while possibilities include “Watch What Happens Live” and “The Amber Ruffin Show.”
In the Best Scripted Variety Series category, the frontrunners are “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver,” “Saturday Night Live,” and “A Black Lady Sketch Show.” Major threats come from “History of the World: Part II” and “Inside Amy Schumer,” while possibilities include “Stephen Colbert Presents Tooning Out the News” and “Pause With Sam Jay.”
For Best Documentary or Nonfiction Series, the top contenders are “Harry &