Samson Mow’s recent statement regarding the potential of a “Bitcoin bifurcation”, is creating a buzz in the cryptocurrency world because it could have significant implications on the market and its users. Mow is the Chief Strategy Officer of Blockstream and CEO of Pixelmatic. He speculates that Bitcoin might potentially split between “Institutional BTC” and “Free BTC”. According to his analysis, coins held by ETFs/custodians could face limitations in entering the free market of self-custodial holdings. This concept of “institutional Bitcoin” and “normal Bitcoin” coexisting but operating under different conditions raises several important questions and considerations for those involved in the cryptocurrency market.
The entry of institutional investors into the Bitcoin space is both an opportunity and a risk from Mow’s perspective. It demonstrates Bitcoin’s growing legitimacy as an investable asset class and its potential to become a future reserve asset. However, Mow also highlights the potential segregating impact as a consequence of institutional investment in Bitcoin. According to Mow, Institutional Bitcoin may be less liquid and more exclusive, resulting in it holding a different value compared to “normal Bitcoin”, which will continue to circulate freely in the public domain.
The proposed idea of Institutional Bitcoin is similar to the concept of ‘burning’ cryptocurrency, where coins are effectively taken out of circulation. Mow makes a direct correlation between the reduced accessibility and versatility of locked Bitcoin with this practice, which could lead to a differentiated valuation of Bitcoin in the market.
Emphasizing the importance of autonomy over personal assets, Mow advises Bitcoin users to withdraw their holdings from exchanges and take personal custody. This emphasis on self-custody stems from a precautionary stance against the vulnerability of exchanges to security breaches and operational failures, as exemplified by the collapse of FTX, which resulted in significant losses for its users. This advocacy for self-custody resonates with a broader call for transparency and security within the cryptocurrency community, especially in the wake of fraud and mismanagement incidents. By holding their Bitcoin independently, users can ensure the existence and safety of their digital assets against external threats.
Market watchers are intently observing the potential catalyst for Bitcoin’s valuation in the form of an exchange-traded fund (ETF). The SEC’s approval window for the first spot Bitcoin ETFs has opened following a landmark court victory by Grayscale that challenged the regulator’s previous grounds for denial. This progression has been marked by a recent rally in Bitcoin’s price, pushing past the $36,000 mark and aiming for a bullish target of $49,000. The approval of a spot BTC ETF is a crucial step toward mainstreaming Bitcoin investments, offering a regulated and potentially more secure avenue for institutional and retail investors.
The SEC’s upcoming decision carries significant weight, with the potential to usher in a new era of accessibility and growth for the cryptocurrency market. Industry experts, including Bloomberg’s James Seyffart and Scott Johnsson of Van Buren Capital, point out that the approval process for a spot Bitcoin ETF is meticulous and may extend over several months. Nevertheless, anticipating this regulatory milestone has generated a positive buzz among investors, with a close watch on the SEC’s impending January deadline.
In conclusion, Samson Mow’s insights into the potential for a “Bitcoin bifurcation” sparked by institutional entry, coupled with his advice on self-custody and the future implications of a spot Bitcoin ETF, all point towards an evolving and increasingly complex landscape for the cryptocurrency market and its participants. Users and investors would do well to be proactive and stay informed regarding these significant developments.
